Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)


	Jonny Clayton		Sebastian Bialecki

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.27	3.2
	1.29	3.18	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonny Clayton
71.4%

Sebastian Bialecki
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonny Clayton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sebastian Bialecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Bialecki than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Jonny Clayton - Sebastian Bialecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5. Bialecki is ranked World Ranking: 68.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bialecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Clayton is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonny Clayton
Darts
19.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	3:6 ✺
12.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3 ✺
08.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	8:10 ✺
07.03.26	Darryl Pilgrim - Jonny Clayton	7:10 ✺
06.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Alexander Merkx	10:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Sebastian Bialecki
Darts
20.03.26	Wessel Nijman - Sebastian Bialecki	3:6 ✺
13.03.26	Daryl Gurney - Sebastian Bialecki	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	Gabriel Clemens - Sebastian Bialecki	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	Sebastian Bialecki - Christian Kist	6:5 ✺
17.02.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Sebastian Bialecki	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLWW

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