Match Info

European Tour 12 - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)


	Jonny Clayton		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.88	1.88
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.70	2.07
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	1.96 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonny Clayton
52.1%

Michael Van Gerwen
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonny Clayton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonny Clayton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Van Gerwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 2.

In recent matches, Clayton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Gerwen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 111:113. (average 5.6:5.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jonny Clayton - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonny Clayton
Darts
06.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Keane Barry	6:4 ✺
05.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	6:2 ✺
30.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Laszlo Kadar	6:3 ✺
22.08.26	Brody Klinge - Jonny Clayton	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
06.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
05.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Mario Vandenbogaerde	6:4 ✺
30.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
29.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - James Hurrell	6:4 ✺
26.08.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ted Evetts	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
16.04.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	2:6
12.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3
13.09.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	6:4
21.04.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	6:4
24.09.23	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
06.04.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	3:6
30.03.23	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	6:5

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