Match Info

European Tour 14 - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)


	Josh Rock		Dave Chisnall

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.15
	1.32	3.18	Watch
	1.32	3
	1.34	2.99
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josh Rock
69.8%

Dave Chisnall
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josh Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dave Chisnall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Josh Rock - Dave Chisnall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Rock is ranked World Ranking: 7., and Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 30..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Chisnall may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rock for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Rock has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 3:5.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josh Rock
Darts
29.09.26	Josh Rock - Niels Zonneveld	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Josh Rock - Mario Vandenbogaerde	1:6 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	10:7 ✺
19.09.26	Josh Rock - Ryan Searle	10:7 ✺
17.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Josh Rock	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- Dave Chisnall
Darts
09.10.26	Dave Chisnall - Alan Soutar	6:5 ✺
29.09.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall	6:2 ✺
30.08.26	Keane Barry - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Wessel Nijman - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.05.23	Dave Chisnall - Josh Rock	4:6
30.04.23	Dave Chisnall - Josh Rock	6:3
04.09.22	Josh Rock - Dave Chisnall	0:6 best of 11 legs

Josh Rock - Dave Chisnall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide