Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 4 - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)


	Josh Rock		Michael Smith

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.08	1.68
	2.06	1.75
	2.07	1.75
	2.1	1.73
	2.14	1.69
	2.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josh Rock
44.9%

Michael Smith
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josh Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Josh Rock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Josh Rock - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rock will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rock won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josh Rock
Darts
20.04.24	Josh Rock - Jeffrey Sparidaans	6:2 ✺
13.04.24	Josh Rock - Cameron Menzies	5:6 ✺
08.04.24	Josh Rock - Darren Beveridge	6:1 ✺
01.04.24	Josh Rock - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
01.04.24	Josh Rock - Michael Smith	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW
- Michael Smith
Darts
20.04.24	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5 ✺
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	4:6
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	6:5 ✺
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Luke Littler	6:3 ✺
13.04.24	Michael Smith - Ritchie Edhouse	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.04.24	Josh Rock - Michael Smith	6:4
02.07.23	Michael Smith - Josh Rock	6:4
07.05.23	Josh Rock - Michael Smith	6:1
29.10.22	Michael Smith - Josh Rock	10:8 best of 19 legs
15.10.22	Michael Smith - Josh Rock	3:6 best of 11 legs

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