Match Info

PDC World Masters - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marshall Arena (Milton Keynes) 🌤️ ...


	Luke Humphries		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.33	2.85
	1.36	2.82	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
68.4%

Danny Noppert
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Noppert will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Humphries (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Noppert (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 10.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 5.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Noppert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humphries might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:26. (average 5.7:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 66.59%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
31.01.26	Luke Humphries - Luke Woodhouse	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:5 ✺
19.01.26	Luke Humphries - Ryusei Azemoto	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL
- Danny Noppert
Darts
31.01.26	Stephen Bunting - Danny Noppert	0:4 ✺
30.01.26	Danny Noppert - Daryl Gurney	3:1 ✺
19.01.26	Danny Noppert - Man Lok Leung	3:6 ✺
16.01.26	Gian Van Veen - Danny Noppert	6:1 ✺
15.01.26	Danny Noppert - Bassim Mahmood	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	8:11
11.10.25	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	5:3
02.02.25	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	5:2
01.04.24	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	2:6
30.04.23	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	5:6
26.02.21	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	6:1 best of 11 legs

Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert