Match Info

World Grand Prix - Final

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Gerwyn Price		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.68
	1.96	1.58	Watch
	2.12	1.7
	2.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
43.9%

Luke Humphries
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gerwyn Price, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Humphries, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Price will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Humphries will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 9.5 - over (2.10) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Price is ranked World Ranking: 4., and Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Price won 3.

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Humphries may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Humphries in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Price has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 109:98 (averaging 5.5:4.9 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
03.10.26	Nathan Aspinall - Gerwyn Price	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	3:2 ✺
30.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	3:0 ✺
28.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Sebastian Bialecki	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	11:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Luke Humphries
Darts
03.10.26	Luke Humphries - James Wade	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Luke Humphries - Niels Zonneveld	3:0 ✺
01.10.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	8:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.04.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:2
05.02.26	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	6:5
20.01.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:5
16.11.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	16:13
13.07.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	3:6
07.06.25	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:3
01.05.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	5:6

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