Match Info

Premier League - Night 6 - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Motorpoint Arena (Nottingham)


	Luke Humphries		Gian Van Veen

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.12
	1.66	2.03
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
55%

Gian Van Veen
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gian Van Veen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Van Veen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Veen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Van Veen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 1.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van Veen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 5.1:4.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gian Van Veen - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
07.03.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	10:4 ✺
06.03.26	Luke Woodhouse - Luke Humphries	3:10 ✺
05.03.26	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	4:6 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries	1:6 ✺
26.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Humphries	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- Gian Van Veen
Darts
06.03.26	Robert Cross - Gian Van Veen	10:7 ✺
05.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Jonny Clayton	4:6 ✺
26.02.26	Gian Van Veen - Josh Rock	6:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gian Van Veen - Wessel Nijman	6:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gian Van Veen - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.02.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Humphries	6:5
01.02.26	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	5:0
01.01.26	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	1:5
21.11.25	Gian Van Veen - Luke Humphries	6:5
19.07.25	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	8:10
20.10.24	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	6:2
28.05.23	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	6:4

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