Match Info

World Grand Prix - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Luke Humphries		James Wade

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.52	2.48
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.56	2.25
	1.55	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	2.4 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
61%

James Wade
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

James Wade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Wade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Luke Humphries - James Wade Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wade will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Luke Humphries (1.57) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Win 1st Set - Luke Humphries (1.73) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2., and Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Wade may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Humphries holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Humphries has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 117:77 (averaging 8.4:5.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.19%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

James Wade - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
02.10.26	Luke Humphries - Niels Zonneveld	3:0 ✺
01.10.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	8:10 ✺
17.09.26	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW
- James Wade
Darts
02.10.26	Gian Van Veen - James Wade	0:3 ✺
01.10.26	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	James Wade - Joe Cullen	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gerwyn Price - James Wade	10:7 ✺
19.09.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	10:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.10.25	James Wade - Luke Humphries	3:10
12.09.25	Luke Humphries - James Wade	6:5
02.03.25	James Wade - Luke Humphries	10:9
10.11.24	Luke Humphries - James Wade	3:5
20.07.24	Luke Humphries - James Wade	17:10
09.03.24	Luke Humphries - James Wade	6:1
26.11.23	James Wade - Luke Humphries	7:10

Upcoming Matches