Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	James Wade		Stephen Bunting

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.52	2.48
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.51	2.45
	1.50	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	2.5 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
62.3%

Stephen Bunting
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Wade's performance.

Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stephen Bunting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Wade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stephen Bunting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Wade - Stephen Bunting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6., and Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 11..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wade won 2.

Wade is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Bunting have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bunting could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wade holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Wade has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:33 (averaging 4:4.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

James Wade - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.06%, but this team recently wins 87% of matches with these odds.

Stephen Bunting - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
29.09.26	James Wade - Joe Cullen	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gerwyn Price - James Wade	10:7 ✺
19.09.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	10:7 ✺
18.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	6:5 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Stephen Bunting
Darts
29.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Andrew Gilding	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Josh Rock	5:6 ✺
13.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
12.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Brendan Dolan	6:5 ✺
05.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Woodhouse	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.08.26	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	6:5
07.09.25	Stephen Bunting - James Wade	5:6
05.10.21	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	1:3 best of 5 sets
29.12.20	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	2:4 best of 5 sets
30.04.15	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	6:6
05.02.15	Stephen Bunting - James Wade	6:6
29.12.14	James Wade - Stephen Bunting	1:4

James Wade - Stephen Bunting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide