Match Info

Premier League - Night 12 - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: M&S Bank Arena (Liverpool)


	Luke Humphries		Luke Littler

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.57
	2.27	1.53
	2.38	1.57
	2.27	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.68)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
40.2%

Luke Littler
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Luke Littler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Luke Humphries - Luke Littler Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Littler is ranked World Ranking: 1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 0.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Humphries may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Littler will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Littler will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 67:80. (average 5.2:6.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
16.04.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Humphries	2:6 ✺
14.04.26	Luke Humphries - Christian Kist	4:6 ✺
13.04.26	Luke Humphries - Daniel Klose	6:5 ✺
09.04.26	Luke Humphries - Jonny Clayton	5:6 ✺
02.04.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Luke Littler
Darts
16.04.26	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	6:3 ✺
09.04.26	Luke Littler - Stephen Bunting	4:6 ✺
02.04.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Littler	6:5 ✺
26.03.26	Luke Littler - Stephen Bunting	6:3 ✺
22.03.26	Luke Littler - Niels Zonneveld	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.02.26	Luke Littler - Luke Humphries	6:5
16.11.25	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	11:16
12.10.25	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	1:6
15.05.25	Luke Littler - Luke Humphries	6:3
13.03.25	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	4:6
20.10.24	Luke Littler - Luke Humphries	4:7
29.09.24	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	6:3

Luke Humphries - Luke Littler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide