Match Info

European Tour 13 - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Luke Humphries		Ryan Searle

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.21	2.93	Watch
	1.33	3.19
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
71.7%

Ryan Searle
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ryan Searle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Searle than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Searle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

#ad

Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Searle is ranked World Ranking: 20.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Humphries may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Humphries is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 79:51. (average 6.1:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.92%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
27.09.25	Luke Humphries - Callan Rydz	6:2 ✺
21.09.25	Niko Springer - Luke Humphries	6:4 ✺
21.09.25	Luke Humphries - Mike De Decker	6:1 ✺
20.09.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:4 ✺
14.09.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL
- Ryan Searle
Darts
27.09.25	Ryan Searle - Niels Zonneveld	6:3 ✺
19.09.25	Ryan Searle - Robert Owen	5:6 ✺
07.09.25	Jermaine Wattimena - Ryan Searle	6:3 ✺
06.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Searle	4:6 ✺
05.09.25	Ryan Searle - Filip Manak	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.07.25	Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle	6:0
01.03.25	Ryan Searle - Luke Humphries	0:10
08.09.24	Ryan Searle - Luke Humphries	2:6
10.03.24	Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle	3:6
25.11.23	Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle	10:7
15.11.23	Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle	10:7
13.11.22	Luke Humphries - Ryan Searle	5:1 best of 9 legs

Upcoming Matches