Match Info

European Tour 11 - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Luke Humphries		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.55
	2.27	1.52	Watch
	1.43	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	2.38 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
59.2%

Wessel Nijman
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luke Humphries's form might have worsened.

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wessel Nijman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luke Humphries, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wessel Nijman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luke Humphries - Wessel Nijman Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Nijman will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 39.

Humphries is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nijman has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nijman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Humphries might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humphries won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.02%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
07.09.25	Luke Humphries - Martin Schindler	6:3 ✺
06.09.25	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:4 ✺
16.08.25	Luke Humphries - Damon Heta	6:2 ✺
15.08.25	Luke Humphries - Haupai Puha	6:3 ✺
09.08.25	Luke Humphries - Mike De Decker	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
07.09.25	Robert Cross - Wessel Nijman	3:6 ✺
06.09.25	Damon Heta - Wessel Nijman	5:6 ✺
05.09.25	Wessel Nijman - Richard Veenstra	6:5 ✺
29.08.25	Wessel Nijman - Karel Sedlacek	5:6 ✺
22.07.25	Wessel Nijman - James Wade	5:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.04.25	Luke Humphries - Wessel Nijman	6:3

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