Match Info

European Tour 6 - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Luke Woodhouse		Michael Smith

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.55
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 (2.3)	1.59 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Woodhouse
40.8%

Michael Smith
59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Luke Woodhouse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Michael Smith have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Luke Woodhouse - Michael Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 30. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 20.

Woodhouse is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Woodhouse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 6.5:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
04.05.25	Luke Woodhouse - Ross Smith	6:3 ✺
03.05.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Woodhouse	4:6 ✺
02.05.25	Luke Woodhouse - Johan Engstrom	6:3 ✺
26.04.25	Peter Wright - Luke Woodhouse	6:3 ✺
25.04.25	Luke Woodhouse - Nathan Rafferty	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW
- Michael Smith
Darts
04.05.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:6 ✺
03.05.25	Michael Smith - Daniel Klose	6:5 ✺
20.04.25	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	4:6 ✺
04.04.25	Michael Smith - Thibault Tricole	3:6 ✺
01.04.25	Michael Smith - Michele Turetta	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.03.24	Michael Smith - Luke Woodhouse	9:10
15.12.19	Michael Smith - Luke Woodhouse	1:3 best of 5 sets

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