Match Info

POLAND: POLAND DARTS MASTERS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena COS Torwar (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Michael Smith		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.45	2.75
	1.38	2.9
	1.44	2.84
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.1
	1.38	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
68.2%

Danny Noppert
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Smith - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

#ad

Preview

Smith is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Noppert is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
07.07.23	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Kciuk	6:1 ✺
02.07.23	Michael Smith - Dirk van Duijvenbode	4:6 ✺
02.07.23	Michael Smith - Josh Rock	6:4 ✺
01.07.23	Michael Smith - Keane Barry	6:2 ✺
13.06.23	Michael Smith - Jimmy Hendriks	6:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Danny Noppert
Darts
07.07.23	Danny Noppert - Radoslav Szaganski	6:2 ✺
02.07.23	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	6:3 ✺
01.07.23	Danny Noppert - James Wilson	6:5 ✺
13.06.23	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	6:4
27.05.23	Danny Noppert - Gian Van Veen	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
29.01.23	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	10:5
21.05.22	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	4:6 best of 11 legs
07.07.21	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	6:2 best of 11 legs
25.10.20	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	6:1 best of 11 legs
28.09.19	Michael Smith - Danny Noppert	6:1 best of 11 legs

Upcoming Matches