Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 7 - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Michael Smith		Gabriel Clemens

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	3
	1.43	2.89
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	2.94
	1.38	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
67.9%

Gabriel Clemens
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Gabriel Clemens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Clemens than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriel Clemens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Smith - Gabriel Clemens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Clemens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Smith won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
06.05.23	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:2 ✺
04.05.23	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
30.04.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	4:6 ✺
29.04.23	Michael Smith - Jim Williams	6:4 ✺
27.04.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Gabriel Clemens
Darts
06.05.23	Peter Wright - Gabriel Clemens	5:6 ✺
05.05.23	Gabriel Clemens - Graham Usher	6:0 ✺
29.04.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	6:2 ✺
28.04.23	Gian Van Veen - Gabriel Clemens	5:6 ✺
15.04.23	Gabriel Clemens - Vincent Van Der Voort	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.01.23	Gabriel Clemens - Michael Smith	2:6 best of 5 sets
05.03.22	Gabriel Clemens - Michael Smith	8:10 best of 19 legs

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