Match Info

EUROPE: European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Michael Van Gerwen		Gabriel Clemens

	1	2
	1.3	3.5
	1.34	3.2
	1.32	3.1
	1.36	3.12
	1.33	3.3
	1.34	3.18
	1.32	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
70.7%

Gabriel Clemens
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gabriel Clemens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Clemens than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriel Clemens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Clemens is ranked World Ranking: 28.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 4.

Recent matches Van Gerwen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clemens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clemens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Gerwen is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 44:25 (average 5.5:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
20.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	1:6 ✺
20.10.24	Alan Soutar - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6 ✺
19.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:4 ✺
08.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Ross Smith - Michael Van Gerwen	3:7
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Gabriel Clemens
Darts
19.10.24	Damon Heta - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
18.10.24	Brendan Dolan - Gabriel Clemens	1:6 ✺
16.10.24	Gabriel Clemens - Robbie Knops	6:4 ✺
03.10.24	Gabriel Clemens - Andy Baetens	6:2 ✺
24.09.24	Gabriel Clemens - Kai Gotthard	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.09.24	Gabriel Clemens - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6
07.09.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	4:6
21.04.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	6:3
26.11.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	11:6
15.10.23	Gabriel Clemens - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6
29.04.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	6:2
17.11.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Gabriel Clemens	5:1 best of 9 legs

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