Match Info

European Tour 9 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Incheba Expo-Arena (Bratislava)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Krzysztof Ratajski

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.5
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	2.46 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
61.7%

Krzysztof Ratajski
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Krzysztof Ratajski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krzysztof Ratajski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Ratajski is ranked World Ranking: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Ratajski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Gerwen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:26. (average 5.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
06.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Viktor Tingstrom	6:5 ✺
05.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Oskar Lukasiak	6:2 ✺
24.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
24.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	6:3 ✺
23.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Madars Razma	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Krzysztof Ratajski
Darts
19.06.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Cristo Reyes	6:2 ✺
03.06.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Chris Landman	6:2 ✺
02.06.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:0 ✺
30.05.26	Wessel Nijman - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:1 ✺
29.05.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Daniel Klose	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
09.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:3
19.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:4
07.03.21	Krzysztof Ratajski - Michael Van Gerwen	7:10 best of 19 legs
06.10.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:1 best of 5 sets
08.09.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:5 best of 11 legs
08.06.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	4:2 best of 7 legs
21.04.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:4 best of 11 legs

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