Match Info

Premier League - Night 9 - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: AO Arena (Manchester)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Stephen Bunting

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.31
	1.56	2.21
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
59.1%

Stephen Bunting
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stephen Bunting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.

Van Gerwen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bunting is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bunting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 127:65. (average 6.4:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.52%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Stephen Bunting - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
26.03.26	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
22.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	6:4 ✺
22.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	6:5 ✺
21.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Mansell	6:4 ✺
19.03.26	Gian Van Veen - Michael Van Gerwen	van Gerwen M. ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWW?
- Stephen Bunting
Darts
26.03.26	Luke Littler - Stephen Bunting	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Stephen Bunting - Andy Baetens	4:6 ✺
19.03.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Littler	3:6 ✺
14.03.26	Stephen Bunting - Niko Springer	5:6 ✺
12.03.26	Josh Rock - Stephen Bunting	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	2:6
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4
16.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4
17.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	6:5
13.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:1
29.12.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	4:0 best of 5 sets
26.11.23	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	9:10

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