Match Info

World Series Finals - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: AFAS Live (Amsterdam)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Daryl Gurney

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.41	2.78
	1.34	2.95
	1.39	2.77
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
67.6%

Daryl Gurney
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Daryl Gurney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Michael van Gerwen (1.44) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 7. Gurney is ranked World Ranking: 29.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3.

Van Gerwen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gurney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Gerwen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 126:102. (average 6.3:5.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 67.9%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
17.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Lourence Ilagan	Canceled ✺
12.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
06.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
06.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
05.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Mario Vandenbogaerde	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?LWWW
- Daryl Gurney
Darts
04.09.26	Daryl Gurney - Beau Greaves	4:6 ✺
28.08.26	Daryl Gurney - Laszlo Kadar	5:6 ✺
10.07.26	Daryl Gurney - Maik Kuivenhoven	3:6 ✺
07.07.26	Daryl Gurney - Madars Razma	5:6 ✺
19.06.26	Daryl Gurney - Jim Long	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	6:5
26.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	10:7
08.10.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	0:2
07.05.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	6:3 best of 11 legs
21.10.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	3:6 best of 11 legs
04.09.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	6:4 best of 11 legs
05.09.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Daryl Gurney	2:8 best of 14 legs

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