Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Michael Van Gerwen		William OConnor

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
63%

William OConnor
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

William OConnor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Van Gerwen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. OConnor is ranked World Ranking: 41.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.

In recent matches, Van Gerwen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Gerwen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:27. (average 5.7:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
18.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Mitsuhiko Tatsunami	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:10 ✺
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2 ✺
09.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	4:5 ✺
08.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Beau Greaves	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- William OConnor
Darts
19.12.25	William OConnor - Krzysztof Kciuk	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	William OConnor - Ricardo Pietreczko	3:6 ✺
18.10.25	Martin Schindler - William OConnor	6:4 ✺
17.10.25	Andrew Gilding - William OConnor	4:6 ✺
27.09.25	Danny Noppert - William OConnor	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
16.09.23	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	6:4
27.02.20	William OConnor - Michael Van Gerwen	4:7 best of 12 legs
25.05.19	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	6:2 best of 11 legs
08.09.18	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	1:6 best of 11 legs
01.07.18	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	8:2 best of 15 legs
20.06.15	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	6:5 best of 11 legs
06.04.15	William OConnor - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6

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