Match Info

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday


	Nathan Aspinall		Cristo Reyes

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Nathan Aspinall
58.2%

Cristo Reyes
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cristo Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristo Reyes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 11., and Reyes is ranked World Ranking: 71..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Aspinall could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aspinall holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Aspinall has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
18.10.26	Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall	6:1 ✺
17.10.26	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	6:1 ✺
03.10.26	Nathan Aspinall - Gerwyn Price	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ryan Joyce	3:0 ✺
30.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Nathan Aspinall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW
- Cristo Reyes
Darts
18.10.26	Wessel Nijman - Cristo Reyes	6:3 ✺
17.10.26	Chris Dobey - Cristo Reyes	2:6 ✺
16.10.26	Cristo Reyes - Krzysztof Kciuk	6:2 ✺
11.10.26	Cristo Reyes - Luke Humphries	3:6 ✺
11.10.26	Damon Heta - Cristo Reyes	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW

Darts
10.06.17	Cristo Reyes - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 best of 11 legs

Nathan Aspinall - Cristo Reyes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide