Match Info

European Tour 15 - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht) 🌤️ ...


	Wessel Nijman		Cristo Reyes

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.20
	1.65	2.11
	1.64	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wessel Nijman
56.2%

Cristo Reyes
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cristo Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wessel Nijman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristo Reyes than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cristo Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wessel Nijman - Cristo Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 12., and Reyes is ranked World Ranking: 71..

Nijman has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Reyes is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nijman could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nijman has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Wessel Nijman - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
17.10.26	Wessel Nijman - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:3 ✺
10.10.26	Wessel Nijman - Karel Sedlacek	4:6 ✺
30.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Robert Cross	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	10:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Cristo Reyes
Darts
17.10.26	Chris Dobey - Cristo Reyes	2:6 ✺
16.10.26	Cristo Reyes - Krzysztof Kciuk	6:2 ✺
11.10.26	Cristo Reyes - Luke Humphries	3:6 ✺
11.10.26	Damon Heta - Cristo Reyes	4:6 ✺
10.10.26	Ryan Searle - Cristo Reyes	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.03.26	Wessel Nijman - Cristo Reyes	6:5

Wessel Nijman - Cristo Reyes