The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stephen Bunting 41.5%
Nathan Aspinall 58.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.2%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6
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Preview
Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 13., and Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 11..
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunting won 2.
In recent outings, Bunting has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aspinall is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aspinall could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Aspinall in today's match, at odds of 1.65.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bunting has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:38 (averaging 4.3:4.2 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Stephen Bunting - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Nathan Aspinall - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.