Match Info

European Tour 10 - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Ostermann Arena (Leverkusen)


	Nathan Aspinall		Krzysztof Ratajski

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.40
	1.55	2.32
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	2.37 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
60.5%

Krzysztof Ratajski
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Krzysztof Ratajski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krzysztof Ratajski than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 16. Ratajski is ranked World Ranking: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aspinall will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 5.2:5.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
12.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
11.07.26	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Mansell	6:1 ✺
21.06.26	Robert Cross - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
21.06.26	Ryan Searle - Nathan Aspinall	0:6 ✺
20.06.26	Nathan Aspinall - Jim Long	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Krzysztof Ratajski
Darts
12.07.26	Gian Van Veen - Krzysztof Ratajski	3:6 ✺
11.07.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Max Hopp	6:3 ✺
07.07.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Bradley Brooks	3:6 ✺
20.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:5 ✺
19.06.26	Krzysztof Ratajski - Cristo Reyes	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.09.24	Krzysztof Ratajski - Nathan Aspinall	3:6
16.07.23	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	10:7
04.10.21	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	1:2 best of 5 sets
05.03.21	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:10 best of 19 legs
22.12.19	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	4:3 best of 5 sets
01.11.19	Krzysztof Ratajski - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 best of 11 legs

Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide