Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Nathan Aspinall		Leonard Gates

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.05	9.5
	1.1	6.4	Watch
	1.06	6.83	Watch
	1.1	7
	1.11	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.09)	7.46 ↑ (5.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
87.3%

Leonard Gates
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Leonard Gates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nathan Aspinall - Leonard Gates Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Gates will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Aspinall (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nathan Aspinall will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 5 - 100%).

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 15. Gates is ranked World Ranking: 130.

Aspinall is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Aspinall is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aspinall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
19.12.25	Nathan Aspinall - Lourence Ilagan	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Jermaine Wattimena	11:2 ✺
23.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Josh Rock	10:8 ✺
22.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	10:8 ✺
22.11.25	Richard Veenstra - Nathan Aspinall	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Leonard Gates
Darts
19.12.25	Michael Mansell - Leonard Gates	2:3 ✺
27.06.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Leonard Gates	6:1 ✺
08.03.25	Robert Thornton - Leonard Gates	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Leonard Gates - Steve Beaton	3:0 ✺
05.03.25	Leonard Gates - Steve Beaton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.12.24	Nathan Aspinall - Leonard Gates	3:1

Nathan Aspinall - Leonard Gates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide