Match Info

Players Championship Finals - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Nathan Aspinall		Josh Rock

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.61	Watch
			Watch
	2.16	1.64
	2.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.19)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
43.8%

Josh Rock
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Josh Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nathan Aspinall - Josh Rock Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rock will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:10

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 21. Rock is ranked World Ranking: 11.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rock could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rock will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 5.3:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Josh Rock - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.53%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
22.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	10:8 ✺
22.11.25	Richard Veenstra - Nathan Aspinall	0:6 ✺
21.11.25	Karel Sedlacek - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
10.11.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Alex Spellman	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Josh Rock
Darts
22.11.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Josh Rock	8:10 ✺
22.11.25	Josh Rock - Scott Williams	6:0 ✺
21.11.25	Josh Rock - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
15.11.25	Luke Littler - Josh Rock	16:12 ✺
13.11.25	Josh Rock - Connor Scuut	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.04.25	Josh Rock - Nathan Aspinall	2:6
02.03.25	Josh Rock - Nathan Aspinall	10:7
27.12.22	Nathan Aspinall - Josh Rock	3:4 best of 5 sets
27.10.22	Nathan Aspinall - Josh Rock	5:6 best of 11 legs

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