Match Info

US Darts Masters - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)


	Nathan Aspinall		Matthew Campbell

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
			Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	2.86 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
67.1%

Matthew Campbell
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Matthew Campbell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Campbell than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Nathan Aspinall - Matthew Campbell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 6. Campbell is ranked World Ranking: 53.

Aspinall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Campbell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Campbell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aspinall will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aspinall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
07.06.25	Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
06.06.25	Nathan Aspinall - Benjamin Drue-Reus	6:0 ✺
01.06.25	Nathan Aspinall - Wessel Nijman	7:6 ✺
01.06.25	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
01.06.25	Nathan Aspinall - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Matthew Campbell
Darts
19.06.25	Matthew Campbell - Jelle Klaasen	5:6 ✺
01.06.25	Matthew Campbell - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
01.06.25	James Wade - Matthew Campbell	3:6 ✺
31.05.25	Ross Smith - Matthew Campbell	2:6 ✺
30.05.25	Matthew Campbell - Alan Soutar	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.06.23	Nathan Aspinall - Matthew Campbell	6:4

Nathan Aspinall - Matthew Campbell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide