Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Ross Smith		Ricardo Pietreczko

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.31	3
	1.34	2.95	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.03
	1.31	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	3 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
69%

Ricardo Pietreczko
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ricardo Pietreczko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricardo Pietreczko than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ross Smith - Ricardo Pietreczko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 18. Pietreczko is ranked World Ranking: 30.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Smith won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
23.03.25	Ross Smith - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
23.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
22.03.25	James Wade - Ross Smith	2:6 ✺
21.03.25	Ross Smith - Michael Unterbuchner	6:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mike De Decker - Ross Smith	7:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Ricardo Pietreczko
Darts
04.04.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 ✺
31.03.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Owen Bates	5:6 ✺
22.03.25	Michael Smith - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:2 ✺
21.03.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Daniel Klose	6:3 ✺
17.03.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Kim Huybrechts	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.09.24	Ross Smith - Ricardo Pietreczko	1:0
27.10.23	Ricardo Pietreczko - Ross Smith	6:3

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