Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 9 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Ross Smith		Steve Beaton

	1	2
	1.36	3.2
	1.28	3.4
	1.36	3
	1.33	3.15
	1.32	3.22
	1.33	3.3
	1.33	3.18
	1.34	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.19 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
70.6%

Steve Beaton
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Steve Beaton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Beaton than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steve Beaton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ross Smith - Steve Beaton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Smith won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
13.05.23	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
12.05.23	Ross Smith - Jani Laurila	6:3 ✺
05.05.23	Martijn Kleermaker - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
29.04.23	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:3 ✺
28.04.23	Ross Smith - Jermaine Wattimena	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Steve Beaton
Darts
26.05.23	Steve Beaton - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:5 ✺
20.05.23	Steve Beaton - Rowby John Rodriguez	2:6 ✺
13.05.23	Ryan Searle - Steve Beaton	6:4 ✺
12.05.23	Steve Beaton - Darius Labanauskas	6:4 ✺
29.04.23	Damon Heta - Steve Beaton	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.09.22	Steve Beaton - Ross Smith	2:6 best of 11 legs
01.12.20	Steve Beaton - Ross Smith	1:4 best of 7 legs
13.05.20	Steve Beaton - Ross Smith	4:5 best of 9 legs

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