Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Luke Humphries		Ross Smith

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.6
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
65.5%

Ross Smith
34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Luke Humphries have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ross Smith have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Humphries - Ross Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 18.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humphries won 4.

Now both players are in good shape.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Humphries will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Humphries won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 53:37 (average 5.9:4.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.46%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
05.04.25	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:1 ✺
03.04.25	Luke Humphries - Robert Cross	6:3 ✺
27.03.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
27.03.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:3 ✺
23.03.25	Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Ross Smith
Darts
05.04.25	Ross Smith - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ross Smith - Gary Anderson	5:6 ✺
23.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
22.03.25	James Wade - Ross Smith	2:6 ✺
21.03.25	Ross Smith - Michael Unterbuchner	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.05.24	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:4
13.05.23	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:4
29.04.23	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:3
17.11.22	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	10:8 best of 19 legs
27.11.21	Ross Smith - Luke Humphries	5:6 best of 11 legs
19.03.21	Ross Smith - Luke Humphries	4:6 best of 11 legs
01.12.20	Ross Smith - Luke Humphries	0:4 best of 7 legs

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