Match Info

Premier League - Night 1 - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Utilita Arena (Newcastle)


	Stephen Bunting		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.57
	2.23	1.55
	2.5	1.53
	2.57	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.19)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stephen Bunting
38.5%

Michael Van Gerwen
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Van Gerwen will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

#ad

Preview

Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 7. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunting won 1.

Bunting has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Van Gerwen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bunting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Gerwen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Van Gerwen will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bunting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 63:127. (average 3.2:6.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.51%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stephen Bunting
Darts
31.01.26	Stephen Bunting - Danny Noppert	0:4 ✺
30.01.26	Stephen Bunting - Jeffrey de Graaf	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
19.01.26	Stephen Bunting - Tomoya Goto	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
29.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
19.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nitan Kumar	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
15.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Alexis Toylo	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4
16.01.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:4
17.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	6:5
13.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	6:1
29.12.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	4:0 best of 5 sets
26.11.23	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	9:10
25.02.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting	4:6

Upcoming Matches