Match Info

Date: 9 May 2020, Saturday


	Wessel Nijman		Michael Warburton

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.33	2.93
	1.36	3
	1.39	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	2.84 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wessel Nijman
67.2%

Michael Warburton
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wessel Nijman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Michael Warburton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wessel Nijman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Warburton than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Warburton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nijman will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Warburton will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Warburton: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
09.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Scott Mitchell	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
09.05.20	Andy Jenkins - Wessel Nijman	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
09.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Jason Askew	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
09.05.20	Aaron Monk - Wessel Nijman	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
07.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Aaron Monk	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Michael Warburton
Darts
09.05.20	Michael Warburton - Jason Askew	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
07.05.20	Michael Warburton - Aaron Monk	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
07.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
07.05.20	Michael Warburton - Jason Askew	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
07.05.20	Mark Webster - Michael Warburton	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	3:4 best of 7 legs
05.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	4:1 best of 7 legs
02.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	2:5 best of 9 legs
01.05.20	Michael Warburton - Wessel Nijman	5:3 best of 9 legs
30.04.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	5:3 best of 9 legs
28.04.20	Wessel Nijman - Michael Warburton	5:1 best of 9 legs

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