Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Josba Joensuu		Loviisan Tor

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	5.5
	1.32	6.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	6.3 ↓ (6.6)	5.65 ↓ (5.8)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
69.5%

Draw
14.4%

Loviisan Tor
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

14%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

13.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josba Joensuu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Loviisan Tor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loviisan Tor than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:36, Palm M. (G), Tahka K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:08, Vallius N. (G), Miettinen V. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:37, Piironen L. (G), Kerola J. (A),
07:18, Lax M. (G), Niiranen N. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:26, Kolu A. (G), Lax M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Josba won 2.

Recent performances by Josba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Loviisa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loviisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Josba is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Josba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:46. (average 6.2:7.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Josba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 6.3:7.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
16.11.25	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	5:6 ✺
15.11.25	Wirmo - Josba Joensuu	6:4 ✺
02.11.25	Josba Joensuu - SB Vantaa	2:9 ✺
18.10.25	Josba Joensuu - M-Team	7:4 ✺
12.10.25	Koovee Tampere - Josba Joensuu	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL
- Loviisan Tor
Finnish Divari
22.11.25	O2-Jyväskylä - Loviisan Tor	8:1 ✺
16.11.25	M-Team - Loviisan Tor	6:7 ✺
30.10.25	Loviisan Tor - Tiikerit	4:8 ✺
25.10.25	SB Vantaa - Loviisan Tor	12:4 ✺
18.10.25	Loviisan Tor - Wirmo	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
20.12.19	Loviisan Tor - Josba Joensuu	6:7
21.09.19	Josba Joensuu - Loviisan Tor	10:3
19.01.19	Loviisan Tor - Josba Joensuu	9:4
23.09.18	Josba Joensuu - Loviisan Tor	6:9
27.01.18	Josba Joensuu - Loviisan Tor	3:11
21.10.17	Loviisan Tor - Josba Joensuu	8:7 penalties

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