Match Info

FINLAND: INSSI-DIVARI - PROMOTION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Kirkkonummi Rangers		Turku

	1	X	2
	2.31	4.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)	4.5 ↓ (4.8)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)

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Current Win Probability

Kirkkonummi Rangers
39.4%

Draw
20.2%

Turku
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

19%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

18.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kirkkonummi Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Turku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirkkonummi Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turku than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:26, Laaksonen N. (G), Lindroos Y. (A),
08:06, Alaluusua S. (G), Airaksinen K. (A),
19:56, Alaluusua S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:53, Klemetti K. (G), Lahtinen J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 5)
00:23, Tiltins K. (G),
09:23, Alaluusua S. (G), Markkola A. (A),
13:40, Tuononen V. (G), Kurkikangas A. (A),
15:20, Forsman J. (G), Hiltunen A. (A),
16:43, Tuominen S. (G), Griezitis G. (A),
19:11, Tiltins K. (G), Beijar J. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. Turku FBC leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rangers won 2.

Recent matches Rangers is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Turku is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rangers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Rangers won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 57-72.

Including matches at home between the teams Rangers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kirkkonummi Rangers
Finnish Divari
16.03.24	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:2 ✺
10.03.24	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Karhut	4:8 ✺
25.02.24	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Konnat	7:3 ✺
24.02.24	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Happee Steamers	9:6 ✺
18.02.24	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWW
- FBC Turku
Finnish Divari
16.03.24	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:2 ✺
Finnish F-Liiga
09.03.24	EräViikingit - Turku	4:2 ✺
01.03.24	Turku - Nurmon Jymy	4:7 ✺
28.02.24	Turku - LaSB	3:6 ✺
24.02.24	Happee Jyväskylä - Turku	14:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
16.03.24	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:2
06.03.22	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Turku	4:1
22.10.21	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	6:3
10.03.21	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	4:5
07.03.21	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Turku	3:4 OT
06.03.21	Turku - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:4 OT
06.02.21	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Turku	3:11

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