Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Josba Joensuu		Kirkkonummi Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	4.9 ↓ (5)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
45.3%

Draw
19%

Kirkkonummi Rangers
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

18.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josba Joensuu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kirkkonummi Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Josba Joensuu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirkkonummi Rangers than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kirkkonummi Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:00, Bjorklund O. (G), Laakso S. (A),
19:50, Naakka F. (G), Naakka V. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 2)
00:46, Kallio R. (G), Alaluusua S. (A),
01:37, Korhonen E. (G), Naakka V. (A),
04:48, Hiltunen Joni (G), Korhonen E. (A),
08:19, Kosonen M. (G),
15:19, Hyrynkangas A. (G), Naakka F. (A),
15:26, Bjorklund O. (G), Laakso S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
05:37, Kallio R. (G), Alaluusua S. (A),
08:29, Kallio R. (G), Alaluusua S. (A),
10:50, Ohman J. (G), Silvennoinen O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Josba won 3.

Josba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rangers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Josba has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Josba won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 62:70. (average 4.1:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Josba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 3.6:5.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
4	Rangers	6	2	1	1	0	0	2	31:30	10
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
14.02.26	Josba Joensuu - Wirmo	8:6 ✺
01.02.26	Josba Joensuu - SalBa Rauma	5:2 ✺
25.01.26	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - Josba Joensuu	6:3 ✺
18.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Koovee Tampere	7:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW
- Kirkkonummi Rangers
Finnish Divari
14.02.26	Koovee Tampere - Kirkkonummi Rangers	4:7 ✺
31.01.26	Kirkkonummi Rangers - SaiPa	4:5 ✺
23.01.26	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Wirmo	5:4 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Tiikerit - Kirkkonummi Rangers	6:5 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Kirkkonummi Rangers - SB Vantaa	8:7 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
28.09.25	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Josba Joensuu	3:4
08.12.24	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Josba Joensuu	4:5
18.02.24	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:6
01.10.23	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Josba Joensuu	3:4
25.02.23	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	3:6
15.10.22	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Josba Joensuu	2:7
15.01.22	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	5:8

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