Match Info

Elvi Liga

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lekrings		Lielvārde

	1	X	2
	1.3	8.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	8.5 ↑ (8)	4.25 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lekrings
68.5%

Draw
10.5%

Lielvārde
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

11.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

11.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lekrings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lielvārde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lekrings than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lekrings that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lielvārde than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lielvārde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
2nd Period (5 - 2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lekrings won 3.

Lekrings is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lielvārde has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lekrings is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lekrings won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 84:67. (average 4.2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lekrings won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:36. (average 4.2:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lekrings
Latvian Elvi Liga
06.12.25	Valmeira - Lekrings	7:8 OT ✺
05.12.25	Lekrings - Irlava Avant	6:5 ✺
30.11.25	Lekrings - Talsi	5:2 ✺
23.11.25	SĀC - Lekrings	8:9 ✺
20.11.25	Ulbroka - Lekrings	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWL
- SK Lielvārde
Latvian Elvi Liga
09.12.25	SĀC - Lielvārde	3:4 ✺
04.12.25	Lielvārde - Kekava	6:3 ✺
30.11.25	Lielvārde - Irlava Avant	4:7 ✺
22.11.25	Lielvārde - Rubene	3:12 ✺
21.11.25	Bauska - Lielvārde	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
02.11.25	Lielvārde - Lekrings	5:8
30.11.24	Lielvārde - Lekrings	6:2
13.10.24	Lekrings - Lielvārde	5:4
09.03.24	Lielvārde - Lekrings	1:5
07.03.24	Lekrings - Lielvārde	6:7 penalties
02.03.24	Lielvārde - Lekrings	2:3 OT
01.03.24	Lielvārde - Lekrings	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lekrings
Latvian Elvi Liga
31.10.26	Ulbroka - Lekrings	✺
- SK Lielvārde
Latvian Elvi Liga
31.10.26	Lielvārde - Kurši	✺

Lekrings - Lielvārde