Match Info

Allsvenskan - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Innebandy Play


	Lund		Karlstad

	1	X	2
	2.41	4.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)	4.7 ↓ (4.9)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lund
38%

Draw
19.5%

Karlstad
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

18.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

20.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lund than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:03, Wahl L. (G), Lindqvist T. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
00:09, Nilsson K. (G), Wahl L. (A),
07:20, Alenius I. (G), Nilsson K. (A),
13:40, Wahl L. (G), Norlund H. (A),
18:04, Wahl L. (G), Norlund H. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:09, Degeryd S. (G), Bofeldt M. (A),
13:43, Lawesson J. (G), Vant Hoff T. (A),

Preview

IBK Lund Elit leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lund won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lund won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 52:53. (average 5.8:5.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lund won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 7.5:6.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	D	L	L		Pts
10	Karlstad	3	0	0	0	1	2	13:21	1

Last Results with these Odds

Lund - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IBK Lund Elit
Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
15.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	6:4 ✺
13.04.26	Lund - Karlstad	9:6 ✺
11.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	5:7 ✺
06.04.26	Lund - Sirius	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sirius - Lund	7:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWL
- Karlstad Innebandy
Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
15.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	6:4 ✺
13.04.26	Lund - Karlstad	9:6 ✺
11.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	5:7 ✺
02.04.26	Karlstad - Dalen	5:6 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Dalen - Karlstad	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
15.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	6:4
13.04.26	Lund - Karlstad	9:6
11.04.26	Karlstad - Lund	5:7
31.01.26	Karlstad - Lund	4:3 OT
02.11.25	Lund - Karlstad	8:3
05.01.25	Karlstad - Lund	7:4
28.09.24	Lund - Karlstad	6:9

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