Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	SaiPa		Nibacos Kokkola

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)	4.7 ↓ (5)	1.95 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.50

The best margin for this event is 13.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
36%

Draw
18.8%

Nibacos Kokkola
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

18.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

20.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nibacos Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SaiPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nibacos Kokkola than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nibacos Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:54, Vetelainen A. (G), Hakonen P. (A),
13:31, Tielinen N. (G), Santtu T. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:54, Sandini L. (G), Ruotsalainen J. (A),
04:22, Koho O. (G), Pohjalainen T. (A),
06:16, Forsman P. (G), Salo T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:12, Seppanen H. (G), Ylikorpi V. (A),
09:36, Hakonen P. (G), Mustonen T. (A),
17:47, Sandini L. (G), Lindstedt T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Pokela M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Santtu T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Honkaniemi M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tielinen N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tynkkynen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Taalikka R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Salo T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Koho O. (Penalty Shot),
5, Mustonen T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ruotsalainen J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Hakonen P. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

SaiPa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nibacos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nibacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
9	Nibacos	6	1	0	0	2	1	2	31:41	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa Salibandy
Finnish Divari
10.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - SaiPa	7:1 ✺
04.01.26	Karhut - SaiPa	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	SalBa Rauma - SaiPa	9:5 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa - Loviisan Tor	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	SaiPa - M-Team	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Nibacos Kokkola
Finnish Divari
10.01.26	Loviisan Tor - Nibacos Kokkola	4:3 OT ✺
03.01.26	Nibacos Kokkola - Kirkkonummi Rangers	6:5 ✺
20.12.25	Nibacos Kokkola - SalBa Rauma	6:4 ✺
13.12.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Wirmo	5:9 ✺
07.12.25	Josba Joensuu - Nibacos Kokkola	6:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWLW

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