Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Josba Joensuu		Nibacos Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.85	5.2	2.74
	1.85	5.33	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	5.27 ↓ (5.33)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
49.5%

Draw
17.4%

Nibacos Kokkola
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

17.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

14.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josba Joensuu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nibacos Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Josba Joensuu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nibacos Kokkola than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nibacos Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:56, Vallius N. (G), Piironen L. (A),
09:29, Vallius N. (G), Virtanen J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
07:05, Seppanen H. (G), Mustonen T. (A),
10:06, Virtanen J. (G), Piironen L. (A),
15:22, Vetelainen A. (G), Takala T. (A),
16:22, Tynkkynen J. (G), Takala T. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 5)
03:13, Tynkkynen J. (G), Salo T. (A),
04:24, Mustonen T. (G),
11:08, Mustonen T. (G),
14:27, Vetelainen A. (G), Takala T. (A),
17:37, Kerola J. (G), Hiltunen Joni (A),
18:41, Jyrkiainen M. (G), Pokela M. (A),
19:01, Hiltunen Joni (G), Naakka V. (A),
19:32, Naakka V. (G), Vallius N. (A),

Preview

Josba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nibacos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nibacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Josba could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Josba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
29.11.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Josba Joensuu	8:7 penalties ✺
23.11.25	Josba Joensuu - Loviisan Tor	2:3 OT ✺
16.11.25	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	5:6 ✺
15.11.25	Wirmo - Josba Joensuu	6:4 ✺
02.11.25	Josba Joensuu - SB Vantaa	2:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL
- Nibacos Kokkola
Finnish Divari
06.12.25	O2-Jyväskylä - Nibacos Kokkola	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Josba Joensuu	8:7 penalties ✺
23.11.25	M-Team - Nibacos Kokkola	5:4 ✺
22.11.25	Kirkkonummi Rangers - Nibacos Kokkola	6:3 ✺
08.11.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Koovee Tampere	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
29.11.25	Nibacos Kokkola - Josba Joensuu	8:7 penalties

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