Match Info

Championship

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Aktobe		Astana

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.44	4.51	Watch
	1.39	6.2	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	5.82 ↑ (5.44)	4.54 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
64.3%

Draw
15.6%

Astana
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

16.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

17.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Aktobe - Astana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (5 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Aktobe is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 71:47. (average 3.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 3.4:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	MFC Aktobe	8	5	1	2	35:31	16
11	Astana	2	0	0	2	2:10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFC Aktobe
Kazakh Championship Futsal
26.04.26	Aktobe - Astana	4:7 ✺
20.04.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Aktobe - Kairat Almaty	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Aktobe - Kairat Almaty	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- MFC Astana
Kazakh Championship Futsal
26.04.26	Aktobe - Astana	4:7 ✺
20.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Astana	4:3 ✺
11.04.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Astana	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
26.04.26	Aktobe - Astana	4:7
28.09.25	Astana - Aktobe	0:7
27.09.25	Astana - Aktobe	3:4
22.05.25	Astana - Aktobe	2:4
21.05.25	Astana - Aktobe	2:6
22.10.24	Aktobe - Astana	6:3
21.10.24	Aktobe - Astana	3:3

Aktobe - Astana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide