Match Info

CROATIA: HMNL - Round 6

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Aurelia		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.85	5.38	2.84	Watch
	1.92	4.33	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.13)	4.86 ↑ (4.4)	2.88 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurelia
48.9%

Draw
19%

Rijeka
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

20.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

19.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurelia's performance.

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurelia than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Aurelia - Rijeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

Aurelia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rijeka is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurelia Futsal
Croatian 1 HMNL
22.11.24	Pula - Aurelia	3:2 ✺
16.11.24	Aurelia - Torcida Split	2:7 ✺
08.11.24	Olmissum - Aurelia	4:2 ✺
02.11.24	Aurelia - Square Dubrovnik	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Futsal Dinamo - Aurelia	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- HMNK Rijeka
Croatian 1 HMNL
22.11.24	Torcida Split - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Rijeka - Square Dubrovnik	4:4 ✺
10.11.24	Osijek - Rijeka	4:3 ✺
01.11.24	Rijeka - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	4:4 ✺
18.10.24	Pula - Rijeka	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTT

Aurelia - Rijeka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide