Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Ayat		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.87	4.63	1.86	Watch
	2.87	4.5	1.89
	2.8	4.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)	4.54 ↓ (4.63)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ayat
31.7%

Draw
19.9%

Atyrau
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

19.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.5%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayat than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atyrau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ayat - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayat won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Ayat has had a series of away games.

Atyrau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayat won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:68. (average 3.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayat won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:33. (average 4.5:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Ayat	8	6	1	1	41:21	19
4	Atyrau	8	5	1	2	28:22	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFC Ayat
Kazakh Championship Futsal
17.05.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Ayat	7:6 ✺
16.05.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Ayat	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ayat - Kaspiy Aktau	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW
- MFC Atyrau
Kazakh Championship Futsal
17.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
16.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
28.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Kairat Almaty - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
16.03.26	Atyrau - Ayat	4:1
15.03.26	Atyrau - Ayat	4:3
13.11.25	Ayat - Atyrau	4:3
12.11.25	Ayat - Atyrau	3:0
05.04.25	Atyrau - Ayat	4:2
04.04.25	Atyrau - Ayat	5:5
07.12.24	Ayat - Atyrau	2:8

Ayat - Atyrau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide