Match Info

Championship

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Astana		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	6.04	5.94	1.31	Watch
	4.47	5.4	1.45
	6	6	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (6.04)	5.78 ↓ (5.94)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
16.5%

Draw
15.7%

Atyrau
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

15.3%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

16.7%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Astana - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (4 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 1.

Astana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atyrau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atyrau is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Astana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 34:59. (average 2:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.4:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Atyrau	8	5	1	2	28:22	16
11	Astana	2	0	0	2	2:10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFC Astana
Kazakh Championship Futsal
16.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Astana - Kairat Almaty	4:3 ✺
01.05.26	Astana - Kairat Almaty	4:9 ✺
27.04.26	Aktobe - Astana	7:1 ✺
26.04.26	Aktobe - Astana	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 57.4 WWLLW
- MFC Atyrau
Kazakh Championship Futsal
16.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
28.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Kairat Almaty - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kairat Almaty - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
16.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3
06.09.25	Atyrau - Astana	4:1
15.02.25	Atyrau - Astana	8:2
14.02.25	Atyrau - Astana	5:1
09.02.25	Astana - Atyrau	3:4
08.02.25	Astana - Atyrau	2:1
27.04.24	Astana - Atyrau	4:3

Astana - Atyrau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide