The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baiterek Uralsk 39.4%
Draw 21.2%
Kaspiy Aktau 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
20.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
24.2%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baiterek Uralsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baiterek Uralsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baiterek Uralsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaspiy Aktau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baiterek won 4.
Recent form of Baiterek has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kaspiy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Baiterek won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 59:39. (average 3.9:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Baiterek won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:14. (average 4:2.3).