The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Alusport 42.2%
Draw 21.2%
Sporting Lisbon 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
23%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
29.2%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Alusport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Alusport than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Alusport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barcelona Alusport - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Didac (G)
92. Rafagnin H. (G)
8. Adolfo
29. Merlim A.
13. Catela
4. Paco T.
17. Mendonca E.
33. Taynan
10. Pito
6. Zicky Te
Substitutes
4. Coelho A.
15. Felix R.
26. Feixas M. (G)
9. Matos J. (C)
11. Ferrao
7. Neves H.
5. Harada K.
16. Paco B. (G)
1. Lopez P. (G)
10. Pauleta
9. Lozano (C)
3. Santos D.
3. Matheus
2. Tatinho
6. Perez A.
18. Varela P.
19. Toure M.
8. Wesley Franca
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 3)
1', Paco T. 🟨,
1', Paco T. (G), Merlim A. (A),
9', Felix R. (Own Goal),
9', Adolfo (G), Catela (A),
16', Catela (Pen),
17', Zicky Te (G), Merlim A. (A),
18', Neves H. (Pen),
18', Neves H. (G),
19', Perez A. (G), Catela (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
22', Catela (G),
24', Tatinho (G),
31', Mendonca E. 🟨,
32', Matheus (G),
37', Pito 🟨,
Preview
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.