Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Capurso		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2	5	2.5	Watch
	1.95	4.5	2.35
	2.02	5	2.5
	2.10	4.55	2.57	Watch
	2.08	4.45	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)	4.7 ↑ (4.55)	2.48 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capurso
44.4%

Draw
19.2%

Mantova
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

20.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capurso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capurso than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Capurso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Capurso - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Micoli G. (G)	22. Tondi F. (G)
88. Grandinetti G.	7. Achilli S.
12. Lamas N.	11. Mascherona M.
11. Perri J.	5. Miquelussi L.
7. Pires G.	10. Misael G.
Substitutes
10. Dammacco V.	25. Caique
8. Garofalo B.	88. Carvalho A.
20. Giannattasio D.	14. Ceccatto
30. Guedes P.	3. Deidda L. (G)
9. Ique	8. Donadoni F.
17. Leggiero L.	12. Mohabz
1. Lisco C. (G)	18. Taurisano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', Lamas N. (G),
6', Mohabz (G),
10', Pires G. (G),
12', Miquelussi L. 🟨,
19', Pires G. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
24', Mascherona M. (G),
30', Mohabz 🟨,
37', Pires G. (G),
38', Lamas N. (G),
39', Pires G. (G),
40', Mohabz (G),

Preview

Recent form of Capurso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mantova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Capurso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Capurso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
11	Capurso	5	1	0	4	22:33	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulldog Capurso
Italian Serie A Futsal
28.04.26	Feldi Eboli - Capurso	4:4 ✺
24.04.26	Capurso - Città di Cosenza	2:2 ✺
21.04.26	Sandro Abate - Capurso	5:3 ✺
17.04.26	Capurso - Roma	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Genova - Capurso	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLL
- Mantova Calcio a 5
Italian Serie A Futsal
28.04.26	Mantova - Sporting Sala Consilina	4:3 ✺
25.04.26	Active Network - Mantova	1:7 ✺
21.04.26	Mantova - L84	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dosson - Mantova	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	Mantova - Fortitudo Pomezia	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Futsal
10.01.26	Mantova - Capurso	3:3

Capurso - Mantova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide