Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 16

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.2	4.3
	1.55	5.12	3.94	Watch
	1.49	5.15	4.27	Watch
	1.5	5.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	5.28 ↑ (5.12)	4.07 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
60.3%

Draw
17.2%

Alzira
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

17.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

16.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gus (G)	13. Pereira A. (G)
16. Araya B.	11. Fernandez I.
18. Elias (C)	9. Garcia P.
7. Ferreira M.	19. Marksi Y.
4. Pardo C.	4. Rubi (C)
Substitutes
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	30. Arechaga J.
10. Juanico	14. Cola
9. Juanqui	17. Darrieer Melo
19. Munoz P.	20. Dickson
14. Perez V.	88. Garcia A.
5. Plaza A.	15. Lluch A. (G)
49. Rocha L.	10. Povea C.
11. Saladie C.	5. Quixere
20. Sancho D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', Plaza A. (G),
9', Araya B. (G),
17', Garcia P. (G),
18', Elias (G),
2nd Half (3 - 4)
23', Garcia P. (G),
25', Povea C. (G),
30', Juanqui (G),
31', Rubi (G),
33', Garcia P. (G),
35', Sancho D. (G),
36', Sancho D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alzira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Peñiscola has had a series of away games.

In this match, Peñiscola is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:17. (average 4.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 5:2.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Supercopa Futsal
03.01.26	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Inter - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Córdoba	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 OT ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
07.12.25	Ribera Navarra - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLT
- Alzira FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Córdoba - Alzira	4:5 ✺
13.12.25	Alzira - Noia	5:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Valdepeñas - Alzira	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.12.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Alzira	4:3 ✺
30.11.25	Alzira - Manzanares	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
12.10.25	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	4:6
09.03.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	2:2
28.10.23	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
25.02.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	4:2
15.10.22	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	1:6
19.02.22	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	9:3
16.10.21	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	2:1

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