Match Info
Supercopa - Semi-finalsDate: 3 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Palacio de Deportes Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Cartagena |
|
Castell de Peñiscola |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.4 |
6 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.36 |
6 |
5.4 |
|
 |
1.28 |
6.52 |
6.52 |
 Watch |
 |
1.35 |
6.15 |
5.51 |
|
 |
1.4 |
6 |
4.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.51) |
6.13 ↑
(5.5) |
5.22 ↑
(4.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cartagena
67.5% | Draw
14.9% | Castell de Peñiscola
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castell de Peñiscola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cartagena will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Chemi (G)
| 22. Gus (G)
|
7. Castejon G.
| 18. Elias (C)
|
10. Cortes F.
| 7.  Ferreira M.
|
9. Gonzalez P.
| 6.  Flores L.
|
8. Tomaz F.
| 19. Munoz P.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
6. Alonso C.
| 16.  Araya B.
|
22. Chispi (G)
| 12.  Gonzalez G. (G)
|
23. Gil D.
| 10. Juanico
|
19. Izquierdo J. (C)
| 9. Juanqui
|
3. Juninho
| 4. Pardo C.
|
13. Mellado M.
| 5. Plaza A.
|
14.  Motta G.
| 49. Rocha L.
|
20.  Osamanmusa M.
| 11. Saladie C.
|
11. Waltinho
| 20. Sancho D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', Cortes F. (G),
- 13', Juanico (G),
- 16', Motta G. (G),
- 18', Pardo C. (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 32', Mellado M. (G),
- 40', Juanqui (G),
- 40', Mellado M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, Cartagena has had a series of home games. In this match, Cartagena is seen as the favorite.We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:63. (average 3.5:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 3.7:3.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
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