Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Barcelona Alusport

	1	X	2
	3.95	6	1.49
	4.01	5.64	1.49	Watch
	3.85	5.75	1.5	Watch
	4.2	5.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.07)	5.72 ↑ (5.5)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
22.7%

Draw
15.8%

Barcelona Alusport
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

16.7%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

16.4%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barcelona Alusport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Alusport than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Peñiscola will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	26. Miquel Feixas (G)
18. Elias	8. Adolfo
7. Ferreira M.	23. Gauna L.
4. Pardo C.	5. Joao Victor
5. Plaza A.	10. Pito
Substitutes
16. Araya B.	6. Antonio
6. Flores L.	21. Didac (G)
22. Gus (G)	19. Fits
10. Juanico	14. Garcia E.
9. Juanqui	3. Matheus
19. Munoz P.	7. Pacheco P.
14. Perez V.	11. Toure M.
49. Rocha L.
21. Rosental N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Adolfo (G),
5', Joao Victor 🟨,
5', Joao Victor 🟥,
13', Plaza A. 🟨,
18', Matheus (G),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
22', Matheus (G),
22', Gus (G),
23', Pito (G),
30', Juanico 🟨,
32', Antonio (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:64. (average 2.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 2.6:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.11.25	Avanza Jaén - Castell de Peñiscola	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL
- Barcelona Alusport
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Barcelona Alusport - Manzanares	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Córdoba - Barcelona Alusport	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Barcelona Alusport - Valdepeñas	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cartagena - Barcelona Alusport	4:3 ✺
11.10.25	Barcelona Alusport - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.05.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	3:2
Spanish Cup Futsal
22.03.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	8:2
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
04.01.25	Barcelona Alusport - Castell de Peñiscola	3:7
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
20.02.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	4:3
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.01.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	3:3
09.09.23	Barcelona Alusport - Castell de Peñiscola	3:1
23.01.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Barcelona Alusport	1:3

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