The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ElPozo Murcia 66.5%
Draw 15.7%
Jaén Paraíso Interior 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
15.7%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
100.9%
26.2%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ElPozo Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ElPozo Murcia's performance.
Jaén Paraíso Interior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaén Paraíso Interior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (+34.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ElPozo Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
ElPozo Murcia - Jaén Paraíso Interior Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Jaén will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Edu (G)
1. Espindola C. (G)
31. Gadeia
14. Brandi A.
11. Marcel
21. Michel
9. Rafa Santos
8. Rikelme
10. Ricardinho
5. Salla J.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez D.
17. Bynho
51. Bebe
4. Esteban
77. Dener
7. Fernando
23. Henrique (G)
33. Mareco J.
33. Ligeiro
13. Montoro H. (G)
49. Meseguer A.
3. Raggiati A.
14. Palacio M.
10. Rojas E.
8. Ricardo
41. Rosa M.
17. Rivera A.
6. Zurdo D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Salla J. (G),
2', Gadeia (G),
10', Ligeiro 🟨,
13', Dener 🟨,
17', Zurdo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
25', Dener (G),
29', Ricardinho (G),
31', Bynho 🟨,
34', Rafa Santos 🟨,
34', Salla J. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
35', Brandi A. (G),
35', Ricardo 🟨,
40', Brandi A. (G),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
46', (G),
Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Jaén has had a series of away games.
In this match, ElPozo Murcia is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:55. (average 3:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, ElPozo Murcia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 3.1:2.9).